00 / Market intelligence

Most trading education was never verified. We verify.

Dealer flow positioning and fixed-strike volatility, posted publicly in real time since September 2023. Used by professionals and serious retail. Not an alerts service. A read on where the large-index money is committed, which shapes almost every portfolio whether you trade options, equity, LEAPS, or just hold a retirement account through a cycle.

Confirmed. We will email you when the next window opens.
See the theses ›
Trades posted
2,000+
posted publicly since 2020, every one timestamped
Sharpe ratio
2.02
30-day positions, Jan 2025 to Jan 2026
Public on X since
2019
at @Bluedeerc, every call timestamped

Per-contract math. 1 contract per trade, scaled by your risk. See the math ›

PROOF

Six years. Played day by day.

Seven public market theses. Each one tweeted in advance, each one timestamped, each one resolved by what SPY did next. Hit Play and watch the chart move through six years of correct calls, one receipt at a time.

THESIS 01 / THE COVID TOP Feb 13, 2020 SPY $337.06
+0%
7 / 7 Theses called correct
6 yrs Posted publicly since 2020
14 receipts Real X posts and 1 YouTube clip
Liquidity warning, Feb 13 2020
POSTED · Feb 13, 2020 · @Bluedeerc
Liquidity warning. Posted publicly six days before the COVID top.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1227882252611268608View on x.com ›
★Called the top, 1 day before the ATH
POSTED · Feb 18, 2020 · @Bluedeerc
Called the top one day before the all-time high. Public, timestamped, irreversible.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1229823938278121474View on x.com ›
Full short book published, Feb 24 2020
POSTED · Feb 24, 2020 · @Bluedeerc
Full short book published. Every position sized, dated, and posted in real time.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1232021420824158211View on x.com ›
★Bottom call, EOM pension rebalance
POSTED · Mar 25, 2020 · @Bluedeerc
Bottom call on the EOM pension rebalance. Posted before the lift, not after.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1242824478923988992View on x.com ›
★BTFD crowd suckered, Jan 13 2022
POSTED · Jan 13, 2022 · @Bluedeerc
BTFD crowd suckered. Top called as the bid faded, before the year-long bear set in.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1481612820400295944View on x.com ›
★OPEX vanna unwind bottom, Oct 14 2022
POSTED · Oct 14, 2022 · @Bluedeerc
OPEX vanna unwind. Bottom called the day SPY printed the cycle low.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1580867974456709120View on x.com ›
Out of longs by 7/19, 5 days before the top
POSTED · Jul 14, 2023 · @Bluedeerc
Out of longs by 7/19. Five days before the local top, posted in advance.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1679962239200030720View on x.com ›
Hot take: 4900+ by year end
POSTED · Sep 28, 2023 · @Bluedeerc
Hot take: 4900+ by year end. SPX printed the level eight weeks later.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1707544547929489505View on x.com ›
★In all longs by 10/30, 4 days before the bottom
POSTED · Oct 26, 2023 · @Bluedeerc
In all longs by 10/30. Four days before the bottom, posted in advance.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1717372121335189868View on x.com ›
Hot take: 5900+ by year end
POSTED · Jan 26, 2024 · @Bluedeerc
Hot take: 5900+ by year end. The 2024 roadmap, posted in January.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1750908961033502833View on x.com ›
★Full 5900 roadmap, 4 dated legs
POSTED · Feb 02, 2024 · @Bluedeerc
Full 5900 roadmap. Four dated legs, every one of them hit by year end.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1753446879268163902View on x.com ›
★ The 2025 roadmap. Posted Feb 24, 2025. Minimum 6600. Every target hit.
Tariff crash bottom, posted intraday into the low
POSTED · Apr 09, 2025 · @Bluedeerc
Tariff crash bottom. Posted intraday into the low, not after.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1909990988900151625View on x.com ›
★SPX 6725 in 3 sessions, named in advance
POSTED · Nov 13, 2025 · @Bluedeerc
SPX 6725 in three sessions. The level was named in advance, then printed on schedule.
View on x.com ›
Tweet 1989061632244187370View on x.com ›
Receipt 1 of 14
  1. Feb 13, 2020Thesis 01 / The COVID Top
    Liquidity warning. Tweet posted ahead of any drawdown.
  2. Feb 18, 2020Thesis 01 / The COVID Top
    Climax: called the top one day before the ATH.
  3. Mar 23, 2020Thesis 01 / Outcome
    SPY -34% in 39 days. $337.06 to $222.95.
  4. Feb 24, 2020Thesis 02 / The COVID Bottom
    Full short book published.
  5. Mar 25, 2020Thesis 02 / The COVID Bottom
    Climax: bottom call on EOM pension rebalance.
  6. Apr 17, 2020Thesis 02 / Outcome
    SPY +16% in 23 days. $246.79 to $286.64.
  7. Jan 13, 2022Thesis 03 / The 2022 Bear Top
    Climax: BTFD crowd suckered.
  8. Oct 13, 2022Thesis 03 / Outcome
    SPY -21% over 9 months. $464.53 to $365.97.
  9. Oct 14, 2022Thesis 04 / The October 2022 Bottom
    Climax: OPEX vanna unwind bottom.
  10. Dec 30, 2022Thesis 04 / Outcome
    SPY +15% rally into year end. $357.63 to $411.05.
  11. Jul 14, 2023Thesis 05 / The 2023 Bull Arc
    Out of longs by 7/19, 5 days before the top.
  12. Sep 28, 2023Thesis 05 / The 2023 Bull Arc
    Hot take: 4900+ by year end.
  13. Oct 26, 2023Thesis 05 / The 2023 Bull Arc
    Climax: in all longs by 10/30, 4 days before the bottom.
  14. Mar 28, 2024Thesis 05 / Outcome
    SPY +25%. SPX hit 4900 by Jan 19 2024.
  15. Jan 26, 2024Thesis 06 / The 2024 Roadmap
    Hot take: 5900+ by year end.
  16. Feb 02, 2024Thesis 06 / The 2024 Roadmap
    Climax: full 5900 roadmap, 4 dated legs.
  17. Dec 31, 2024Thesis 06 / Outcome
    SPY +20%. Every leg of the roadmap hit.
  18. Feb 24, 2025Thesis 07 / The 2025 Predictive Arc
    YouTube: 2025 roadmap, minimum 6600.
  19. Apr 09, 2025Thesis 07 / The 2025 Predictive Arc
    Tariff crash bottom, posted intraday into the low.
  20. Nov 13, 2025Thesis 07 / The 2025 Predictive Arc
    Climax: SPX 6725 in 3 sessions, named in advance.
  21. May 01, 2026Thesis 07 / Outcome
    SPY +31%. $548.62 to $720.65 today. Every leg hit.
Recent 30+ day trades closed year to date

Every long-term hold closed January through May 2026.

Includes losses. Held 30 days or longer. LEAPS, spreads, equity. Pulled from the Blue Deer Trading dashboard.

TradeAverage price enteredAverage exitReturnP&L / unit
GLD 400 Call (1/21/28 exp)$83.75$140.80+68.12%+$5,705.00
GLD 450 Call (6/18/26 exp)$8.35$18.43+120.70%+$1,007.87
OXY 45C / 70C spread (1/21/28)$3.30$13.15+298.33%+$984.50
OXY 45C / 70C spread (1/21/28)$5.60$13.75+145.54%+$815.00
NVDA 220C / 300C spread (1/21/28)$17.00$23.00+35.29%+$600.00
GLD shares$374.02$433.69+15.95%+$59.67
YINN 31C / 32C spread (1/16/26)$0.60$1.00+66.67%+$40.00
USO shares$102.64$122.37+19.23%+$19.73
GLD shares$404.55$419.47+3.69%+$14.91
COIN shares$279.51$253.31-9.38%-$26.21

10 long-term trades closed year to date (January through April 2026). 9 wins, 1 loss, 90% win rate. Realized P/L: $59,391.89. Annualized Sharpe ratio for positions held 30+ days: 2.02 (full trailing year, Jan 2025 to Jan 2026).

P/L per unit is based on one option contract. 1 unit = 1 option contract for spreads and singles. Scale to your size. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

P&L / 1 unit is per one option contract, or per one hundred shares of the underlying. Scale to your size. Individual results vary. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

02 / How members use the data

Three ways to use the service. Most members never trade what we post directly.

The data is useful to anyone whose positions or portfolio are exposed to moves in the large indices, which is almost everything aside from penny stocks. You do not have to trade options to get the value.

01 / Alert traders

Trade the posted ideas at your size.

Follow the reads directly. Every entry, every exit, every adjustment is posted in real time before it moves. Minimum usable size is one contract or one hundred shares.

Covered by the contract test math above.
02 / Macro overlay

Use the reads to inform your own book.

Day to day directional context for traders who already have their own system. Know whether you are with the flow or against it before you size up a trade you intended to take anyway.

Most professional members use the service this way.
03 / Portfolio hedgers

Time hedges and de grossing with advance warning.

For advisors, operators, and long term holders who want institutional grade flow context without building the models themselves. Know when to tighten your book before a move, not after.

Used for retirement accounts, concentrated equity positions, and client books.
03 / Who uses this

Used by professionals and serious retail in roughly equal measure.

The service started as research for professional traders and wealth managers. It opened to retail during 2020 when the public tweets took off. Today the member base spans FINRA licensed professionals, independent RIAs, hedge fund traders, and serious retail. The content is the same for everyone; the access path differs.

Whop verified
5.0/5.0
33 reviews
94.14%
quarterly retention

The 5.0 rating and 94% quarter over quarter retention only mean something in context. The context: a member base that includes professionals among the retail seats, several of whom have self identified in their reviews as advisors, portfolio managers, and licensed traders. We do not name them; their reviews on Whop are public if you want to confirm.

Nothing about the product changes between audiences. The same reads, the same timestamps, the same source models. The only thing that differs is how each member uses the data and what arrangement they hold.

Pricing under review for Q3 2026
04 / Access

One price for individual traders.

Retail pricing is flat and stays flat no matter the account size. It pays for itself at the smallest usable position (one contract), which keeps it sensible even for sub $100K accounts.

Retail / quarterly

Pay quarterly. Cancel any quarter.

$7,500/ quarter
Billed at the start of each three month window.
  • Every trade posted in real time with entry, exit, and size reference
  • Daily dealer flow and fixed strike volatility reads
  • Member Discord with archive of every past read and call
  • Full contract test verification dashboard
Join the retail waitlist
Retail / annual

Pay once. Lock current pricing for twelve months.

$28,000/ year
Effective $7,000 / quarter when held for the full year.
  • Everything in the quarterly plan
  • Pricing held at current rate through the term, regardless of next review
  • Annual members keep access to archived reads after cancellation
  • Priority queue when access windows close to new quarterly intake
Join the annual waitlist
For advisors, RIAs, and content distributors: partnerships@equidamusmarkets.com
Pricing review schedule

Pricing is reviewed every quarter. The next scheduled review is July 2026. Waitlist members are offered current pricing at the moment of access.

Accepting members from
United States Canada United Kingdom

Membership is currently restricted to residents of the US, Canada, and the UK. Other jurisdictions will open as regulatory review completes.

Important

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Nothing on this page constitutes financial advice or a recommendation to trade.

05 / The operator

Ten years on the desk. Two proprietary models. One public timeline.

Justin Katz built Equidamus after a decade trading across two funds and a proprietary trading desk. He went independent the year before COVID, started posting publicly on Twitter, and the account took off. For the last five years he has shared every trade, every read, and every piece of research tied to two proprietary models built on dealer positioning and volatility surfaces.

The models are not "alerts." They are a framework for reading where the large index money is already committed and positioning ahead of it. The same data that informs the reads on this page is what institutional desks pay millions to access.

Track record is independently audited. Partnership with an institutional research desk (unnamed by agreement). Every trade call is timestamped on the timeline at @Bluedeerc, and you can confirm any one of them by clicking through.

Morgan Stanley› Boutique fund› Prop desk› Independent
06 / Waitlist

Stop guessing. Start seeing.

The waitlist is how retail access opens between quarterly windows. Drop your email and you will hear when the next opening lands. US, Canada, and UK residents only.

Confirmed. We will email you when the next window opens.

Pricing reviewed quarterly. Current pricing locked through July 2026. Waitlist members receive current pricing at access. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.